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Road Deterioration - Shift Factors

The following table derived from HDM5 Volume 6 explains the use of shift factors in the road deterioration models and the relationship between them.

It lists the models for each Surface Class and, for each model, describes the shift factors available and their purpose.

  • CPSF: Climate Performance Shift Factor
  • RMSF: Routine Maintenance Shift Factor
  • MPSF: Material Performance Shift Factor
Surface ClassModelCPSFRMSFMPSF
BituminousInitiation of CrackingYes
When the climate is getting colder, earlier cracking is expected
N.A.Yes
Crack retardation material, such as bitumen, rubber, or epoxy bitumen, will slow down cracking initiation
Cracking ProgressionYes
When the climate is getting colder, higher crack progression is expected
Yes
A higher routine maintenance level will do more crack sealing, slowing down crack progression)
Yes
Crack retardation material, such as bitumen, rubber, or epoxy bitumen, will slow down the growth
Initiation of Thermal CrackingYes
When the climate is getting colder, earlier cracking is expected
N.A.Yes
Crack retardation material, such as bitumen, rubber, or epoxy bitumen, will slow down cracking initiation
Progression of Thermal CrackingYes
When the climate is getting colder, higher crack progression is expected
Yes
A higher routine maintenance level will do more crack sealing, slowing down crack progression)
Yes
Crack retardation material, such as bitumen, rubber, or epoxy bitumen, will slow down the growth
Initiation of RavellingYes
When the climate is getting colder, earlier ravelling is expected
N.A.Yes
Enhanced material, such as bitumen rubber or epoxy bitumen, will slow down the ravelling initiation
Ravelling ProgressionYes
When the climate is getting colder, faster ravelling is expected
N.A.Yes
Enhanced material, such as bitumen rubber or epoxy bitumen, will slow down the ravelling progression
Rutting – Initial DensificationN.A.N.A.N.A.
Rutting – Structural DeformationYes
Higher rainfall will increase the rut rate
Yes
Routine maintenance directly impacts the rut rate
Yes
Rutting resistance materials such as stabilised and Stone mastic Asphalt reduces rut
Rutting – rut accelerationYes
Higher rainfall will increase the probability of accelerated rutting
Yes
Higher-level routine maintenance reduces the probability of accelerated rutting
Yes
Rutting resistance materials such as stabilised and Stone mastic Asphalt, the probability of accelerated rutting
Rutting – Plastic DeformationYes
Higher temperatures and more hot days increase the plastic deformation
N.A.Yes
Less temperature-sensitive material decreased plastic flow (e.g. epoxy asphalt)
Roughness ProgressionYes
Any climate shift is most likely going to cause increased roughness
Yes
Routine maintenance impacts on the roughness progression
N.A.
Texture Depth ProgressionYes
Higher temperatures and more hot days increase texture loss
Wetter climates may also increase texture loss due to chip intrusion on the base course
N.A.Yes
Less temperature-sensitive material decreased texture loss (e.g. epoxy asphalt)
PCI (Markov only)YesYesYes
Concrete - tbdFaulting in Joints without Dowels
Faulting in Joints with Dowels
Spalling for JPCP
Spalling for JRCP
CRCP Failures
Incremental Roughness for JPCP, JRCP, and CRCP
UnsealedRoughness ProgressionYes (Markov only)
Any climate shift is most likely going to cause increased roughness
Yes (Markov only)
Higher grading frequency reduces roughness
Yes (Markov only)
Better material selection prevents roughness increase, such as potholes and corrugations
Effect of GradingN.A.N.A.N.A.
Annual Material LossN.A. (embedded in the model)N.A. (embedded in the model)N.A. (embedded in the model)
PCI (Markov only)YesYesYes